Lyngby Stadion
Lyngby Boldklub
FC Nordsjælland
Lyngby Boldklub – FC Nordsjælland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.99 – 1.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Nordsjælland away from home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.99 goals for Lyngby Boldklub and 1.88 for FC Nordsjælland. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Lyngby Boldklub took 5 points and FC Nordsjælland 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Lyngby Boldklub, 2 draws, 1 win for FC Nordsjælland. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lyngby Boldklub | 3.50 | 27 % | -28.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -2.6 % |
| 2FC Nordsjælland | 1.86 | 50 % | +2.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Lyngby Boldklub
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Nordsjælland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Lyngby Boldklub
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- FC Nordsjælland
- Lyngby Boldklub1-0FC Nordsjælland
- FC Nordsjælland1-1Lyngby Boldklub
- FC Nordsjælland3-2Lyngby Boldklub
- Lyngby Boldklub1-1FC Nordsjælland
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lyngby Boldklub – FC Nordsjælland?
Our model gives 2 · FC Nordsjælland a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lyngby Boldklub win 20 %, draw 25 %, FC Nordsjælland win 55 %.
What is the most likely score for Lyngby Boldklub – FC Nordsjælland?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.