Osasuna
Racing Santander
Osasuna – Racing Santander
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 1.34
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander. The model predicted a win for Osasuna (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.50 goals for Osasuna and 1.34 for Racing Santander. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Osasuna took 1 point and Racing Santander 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Osasuna | 2.00 | 48 % | -15.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 26 % | +0.5 % |
| 2Racing Santander | 3.60 | 27 % | +9.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Osasuna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Racing Santander
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Osasuna – Racing Santander?
Final score: Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander. The model predicted a win for Osasuna (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Osasuna – Racing Santander?
Our model gives 1 · Osasuna a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Osasuna win 42 %, draw 27 %, Racing Santander win 30 %.