Ceuta
Real Oviedo
Ceuta – Real Oviedo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.30 – 1.14
The short version
Final score: Ceuta 1-2 Real Oviedo. The model predicted a win for Ceuta (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.30 goals for Ceuta and 1.14 for Real Oviedo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Ceuta took 5 points and Real Oviedo 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ceuta | 3.05 | 31 % | +18.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | +0.9 % |
| 2Real Oviedo | 2.35 | 40 % | -27.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ceuta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Oviedo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ceuta – Real Oviedo?
Final score: Ceuta 1-2 Real Oviedo. The model predicted a win for Ceuta (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Ceuta – Real Oviedo?
Our model gives 1 · Ceuta a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ceuta win 39 %, draw 30 %, Real Oviedo win 31 %.