Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
Karlsruher SC – SV Darmstadt 98
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Karlsruher SC at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.55 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.38 for SV Darmstadt 98. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Karlsruher SC took 1 point and SV Darmstadt 98 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Karlsruher SC, 1 draw, 2 wins for SV Darmstadt 98. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Karlsruher SC | 2.20 | 42 % | -7.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -0.8 % |
| 2SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.85 | 33 % | -10.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Karlsruher SC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SV Darmstadt 98
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Karlsruher SC
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- SV Darmstadt 98
- Karlsruher SC2-1SV Darmstadt 98
- SV Darmstadt 983-2Karlsruher SC
- SV Darmstadt 983-0Karlsruher SC
- Karlsruher SC3-3SV Darmstadt 98
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Karlsruher SC – SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model gives 1 · Karlsruher SC a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Karlsruher SC win 42 %, draw 26 %, SV Darmstadt 98 win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Karlsruher SC – SV Darmstadt 98?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.