Dynamo Dresden
1. FC Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden – 1. FC Magdeburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards 1. FC Magdeburg away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.47 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.58 for 1. FC Magdeburg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Dynamo Dresden took 2 points and 1. FC Magdeburg 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Dynamo Dresden, 0 draws, 1 win for 1. FC Magdeburg. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dynamo Dresden | 2.50 | 37 % | -14.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -10.6 % |
| 21. FC Magdeburg | 2.55 | 37 % | +4.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Dynamo Dresden
- Last 5 matches
- At home
1. FC Magdeburg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Dynamo Dresden
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- 1. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg1-2Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden1-21. FC Magdeburg
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dynamo Dresden – 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our model gives 2 · 1. FC Magdeburg a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dynamo Dresden win 34 %, draw 25 %, 1. FC Magdeburg win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for Dynamo Dresden – 1. FC Magdeburg?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.