Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Osnabruck
Arminia Bielefeld – VfL Osnabruck
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.03 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 VfL Osnabruck. The model predicted a win for Arminia Bielefeld (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.03 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.07 for VfL Osnabruck. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, Arminia Bielefeld took 5 points and VfL Osnabruck 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Arminia Bielefeld | 1.76 | 54 % | +5.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -9.0 % |
| 2VfL Osnabruck | 4.20 | 23 % | -27.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Arminia Bielefeld
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfL Osnabruck
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arminia Bielefeld – VfL Osnabruck?
Final score: Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 VfL Osnabruck. The model predicted a win for Arminia Bielefeld (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld – VfL Osnabruck?
Our model gives 1 · Arminia Bielefeld a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Arminia Bielefeld win 60 %, draw 23 %, VfL Osnabruck win 17 %.