Udinese
Lecce
Udinese – Lecce
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 0.95
The short version
Final score: Udinese 0-3 Lecce. The model predicted a win for Udinese (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.57 goals for Udinese and 0.95 for Lecce. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Udinese took 3 points and Lecce 3 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Udinese, 0 draws, 1 win for Lecce. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Udinese | 1.80 | 52 % | -8.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -4.5 % |
| 2Lecce | 4.40 | 21 % | -3.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Udinese
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lecce
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Udinese
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Lecce
- Lecce2-1Udinese
- Udinese3-2Lecce
- Lecce0-1Udinese
- Udinese1-0Lecce
- Lecce0-2Udinese
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Udinese – Lecce?
Final score: Udinese 0-3 Lecce. The model predicted a win for Udinese (51 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Udinese – Lecce?
Our model gives 1 · Udinese a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Udinese win 51 %, draw 27 %, Lecce win 22 %.