PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 18, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.96
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: PEC Zwolle 4-1 Go Ahead Eagles. The model predicted a win for Go Ahead Eagles (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.25 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.96 for Go Ahead Eagles. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, PEC Zwolle took 1 point and Go Ahead Eagles 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for PEC Zwolle, 3 draws, 2 wins for Go Ahead Eagles. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1PEC Zwolle | 3.55 | 27 % | -11.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -9.4 % |
| 2Go Ahead Eagles | 1.95 | 48 % | -0.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
PEC Zwolle
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Go Ahead Eagles
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- PEC Zwolle
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles5-0PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle0-2Go Ahead Eagles
- PEC Zwolle1-1Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles2-2PEC Zwolle
- Go Ahead Eagles1-1PEC Zwolle
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles?
Final score: PEC Zwolle 4-1 Go Ahead Eagles. The model predicted a win for Go Ahead Eagles (51 %): missed prediction.
Who will win PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles?
Our model gives 2 · Go Ahead Eagles a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: PEC Zwolle win 25 %, draw 24 %, Go Ahead Eagles win 51 %.