Predictions are closed for this match.
FC Twente
06:45 PM
Sep 9
Telstar
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Twente | 1.23 | 77 % | -6.6 % |
| XDraw | 6.75 | 14 % | +2.3 % |
| 2Telstar | 11.00 | 9 % | -4.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
FC Twente
Telstar
| FC Twente | Form and statistics | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| 1675 | Elo | 1527 |
| 2.50 | Goals scored / match | 1.60 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.90 |
| 21.7 | Shots / match | 10.4 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 3 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:40 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · FC Twente a 76 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Twente win 76 %, draw 15 %, Telstar win 9 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 70 %, and both teams scoring at 55 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.23 for FC Twente, 6.75 for the draw, 11.00 for Telstar.
Kick-off is scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (Eredivisie), at De Grolsch Veste.
The model leans towards FC Twente at home (76 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.74 goals for FC Twente and 0.87 for Telstar. Bookmakers say the same thing: 77 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Twente took 10 points and Telstar 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for FC Twente, 2 draws, 0 wins for Telstar. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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