Millwall
0-1
Newcastle United
Millwall – Newcastle United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.69
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Millwall 0-1 Newcastle United. The model predicted a win for Newcastle United (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.20 goals for Millwall and 1.69 for Newcastle United. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, Millwall took 9 points and Newcastle United 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Millwall | 6.00 | 15 % | +64.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 21 % | +1.2 % |
| 2Newcastle United | 1.46 | 63 % | -27.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Millwall
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Newcastle United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Millwall – Newcastle United?
Final score: Millwall 0-1 Newcastle United. The model predicted a win for Newcastle United (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Millwall – Newcastle United?
Our model gives 2 · Newcastle United a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Millwall win 27 %, draw 23 %, Newcastle United win 50 %.