Lille
2-3
Real Betis
Lille – Real Betis
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.44 – 1.27
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lille 2-3 Real Betis. The model predicted a win for Lille (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.44 goals for Lille and 1.27 for Real Betis. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Lille took 10 points and Real Betis 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lille | 2.10 | 45 % | -11.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -17.1 % |
| 2Real Betis | 3.42 | 28 % | +17.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lille
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Betis
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille – Real Betis?
Final score: Lille 2-3 Real Betis. The model predicted a win for Lille (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Lille – Real Betis?
Our model gives 1 · Lille a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lille win 42 %, draw 23 %, Real Betis win 34 %.