FC Porto
0-2
Manchester City
FC Porto – Manchester City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Porto 0-2 Manchester City. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (45 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for FC Porto and 1.64 for Manchester City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, FC Porto took 15 points and Manchester City 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Porto | 5.00 | 19 % | +70.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -14.0 % |
| 2Manchester City | 1.64 | 58 % | -26.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Porto
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Manchester City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Porto – Manchester City?
Final score: FC Porto 0-2 Manchester City. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (45 %): correct prediction.
Who will win FC Porto – Manchester City?
Our model gives 2 · Manchester City a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Porto win 34 %, draw 21 %, Manchester City win 45 %.