Beijing Guoan
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan – Qingdao West Coast
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.22 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Beijing Guoan 1-0 Qingdao West Coast. The model predicted a win for Beijing Guoan (65 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.22 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.96 for Qingdao West Coast. Bookmakers say the same thing: 67 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Beijing Guoan took 11 points and Qingdao West Coast 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Beijing Guoan, 2 draws, 0 wins for Qingdao West Coast. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Beijing Guoan | 1.41 | 67 % | -7.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | +1.7 % |
| 2Qingdao West Coast | 6.50 | 14 % | -7.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Beijing Guoan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Qingdao West Coast
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Beijing Guoan
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Qingdao West Coast
- Qingdao West Coast1-1Beijing Guoan
- Qingdao West Coast1-3Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan1-0Qingdao West Coast
- Qingdao West Coast2-2Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan4-1Qingdao West Coast
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Beijing Guoan – Qingdao West Coast?
Final score: Beijing Guoan 1-0 Qingdao West Coast. The model predicted a win for Beijing Guoan (65 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Beijing Guoan – Qingdao West Coast?
Our model gives 1 · Beijing Guoan a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Beijing Guoan win 65 %, draw 20 %, Qingdao West Coast win 14 %.