Wuhan Three Towns
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns – Shanghai Shenhua
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.91
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64 %
- Both teams to score
- 65 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Shanghai Shenhua away from home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.91 for Shanghai Shenhua. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Wuhan Three Towns took 6 points and Shanghai Shenhua 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Wuhan Three Towns, 1 draw, 3 wins for Shanghai Shenhua. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wuhan Three Towns | 2.65 | 35 % | -28.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +2.2 % |
| 2Shanghai Shenhua | 2.15 | 43 % | +4.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Wuhan Three Towns
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Shanghai Shenhua
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Wuhan Three Towns
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua2-2Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-0Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua2-0Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns0-2Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua4-1Wuhan Three Towns
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns – Shanghai Shenhua?
Our model gives 2 · Shanghai Shenhua a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wuhan Three Towns win 27 %, draw 24 %, Shanghai Shenhua win 49 %.
What is the most likely score for Wuhan Three Towns – Shanghai Shenhua?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.