Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia – Avispa Fukuoka
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.84 – 0.94
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Machida Zelvia 3-0 Avispa Fukuoka. The model predicted a win for Machida Zelvia (64 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.84 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.94 for Avispa Fukuoka. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Machida Zelvia took 10 points and Avispa Fukuoka 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Machida Zelvia, 3 draws, 0 wins for Avispa Fukuoka. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Machida Zelvia | 1.83 | 52 % | +16.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -28.4 % |
| 2Avispa Fukuoka | 4.30 | 22 % | -30.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Machida Zelvia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Avispa Fukuoka
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Machida Zelvia
- 3 draws
- 0 wins
- Avispa Fukuoka
- Machida Zelvia0-0Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka2-2Machida Zelvia
- Avispa Fukuoka0-3Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia0-0Avispa Fukuoka
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Machida Zelvia – Avispa Fukuoka?
Final score: Machida Zelvia 3-0 Avispa Fukuoka. The model predicted a win for Machida Zelvia (64 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Machida Zelvia – Avispa Fukuoka?
Our model gives 1 · Machida Zelvia a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Machida Zelvia win 64 %, draw 20 %, Avispa Fukuoka win 16 %.