Bolton Wanderers
2-3
West Ham United
Bolton Wanderers – West Ham United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 1.78
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bolton Wanderers 2-3 West Ham United. The model predicted a win for West Ham United (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.08 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.78 for West Ham United. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Bolton Wanderers took 4 points and West Ham United 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bolton Wanderers | 4.75 | 20 % | +9.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +5.0 % |
| 2West Ham United | 1.62 | 58 % | -16.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bolton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
West Ham United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bolton Wanderers – West Ham United?
Final score: Bolton Wanderers 2-3 West Ham United. The model predicted a win for West Ham United (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bolton Wanderers – West Ham United?
Our model gives 2 · West Ham United a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bolton Wanderers win 23 %, draw 26 %, West Ham United win 51 %.