Sunderland
1-0
Hull City
Sunderland – Hull City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.74 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sunderland 1-0 Hull City. The model predicted a win for Sunderland (58 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.74 goals for Sunderland and 0.96 for Hull City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sunderland took 10 points and Hull City 11 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Sunderland, 0 draws, 2 wins for Hull City. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sunderland | 1.71 | 54 % | -0.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 25 % | -18.5 % |
| 2Hull City | 4.60 | 20 % | -9.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sunderland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hull City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Sunderland
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Hull City
- Sunderland0-1Hull City
- Hull City0-1Sunderland
- Sunderland0-1Hull City
- Hull City0-1Sunderland
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sunderland – Hull City?
Final score: Sunderland 1-0 Hull City. The model predicted a win for Sunderland (58 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sunderland – Hull City?
Our model gives 1 · Sunderland a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sunderland win 58 %, draw 22 %, Hull City win 20 %.