Leyton Orient
08:45 PM
Sep 8
Bradford City
Leyton Orient – Bradford City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.46 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Leyton Orient at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.46 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.20 for Bradford City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. This is the card's value bet: at odds of 2.85, the predicted outcome carries +26.3 % of expected return by the model's reckoning. Over their last five matches, Leyton Orient took 7 points and Bradford City 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Leyton Orient | 2.85 | 32 % | +26.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 28 % | -27.4 % |
| 2Bradford City |
Form and statistics
Leyton Orient
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bradford City
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Leyton Orient | Form and statistics | Bradford City |
|---|---|---|
| 1502 | Elo | 1507 |
| 1.00 | Goals scored / match | 1.30 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 15.0 | Shots / match | 15.8 |
| 30 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leyton Orient – Bradford City?
Our model gives 1 · Leyton Orient a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Leyton Orient win 44 %, draw 22 %, Bradford City win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Leyton Orient – Bradford City?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
