León
América
León – América
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.73
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: León 3-5 América. The model predicted a win for América (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.23 goals for León and 1.73 for América. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, León took 8 points and América 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for León, 2 draws, 3 wins for América. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1León | 3.20 | 29 % | -17.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -12.3 % |
| 2América | 2.15 | 44 % | +5.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
León
- Last 5 matches
- At home
América
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- León
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- América
- León2-3América
- América2-0León
- América1-1León
- León1-1América
- León0-1América
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of León – América?
Final score: León 3-5 América. The model predicted a win for América (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win León – América?
Our model gives 2 · América a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: León win 26 %, draw 25 %, América win 49 %.