Crystal Palace
3-0
Middlesbrough
Crystal Palace – Middlesbrough
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.68 – 1.17
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Crystal Palace 3-0 Middlesbrough. The model predicted a win for Crystal Palace (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.68 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.17 for Middlesbrough. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Crystal Palace took 6 points and Middlesbrough 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Crystal Palace | 1.83 | 51 % | -10.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -16.5 % |
| 2Middlesbrough | 3.70 | 25 % | +9.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Crystal Palace
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Middlesbrough
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Crystal Palace – Middlesbrough?
Final score: Crystal Palace 3-0 Middlesbrough. The model predicted a win for Crystal Palace (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Crystal Palace – Middlesbrough?
Our model gives 1 · Crystal Palace a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Crystal Palace win 49 %, draw 22 %, Middlesbrough win 30 %.