Santos
Querétaro
Santos – Querétaro
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.75 – 0.97
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Santos 5-0 Querétaro. The model predicted a win for Santos (55 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.75 goals for Santos and 0.97 for Querétaro. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Santos took 10 points and Querétaro 13 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Santos, 1 draw, 2 wins for Querétaro. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Santos | 2.25 | 42 % | +24.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -12.7 % |
| 2Querétaro | 2.95 | 32 % | -39.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Santos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Querétaro
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Santos
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Querétaro
- Querétaro2-2Santos
- Santos3-1Querétaro
- Santos1-2Querétaro
- Querétaro3-2Santos
- Querétaro0-1Santos
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Santos – Querétaro?
Final score: Santos 5-0 Querétaro. The model predicted a win for Santos (55 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Santos – Querétaro?
Our model gives 1 · Santos a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Santos win 55 %, draw 24 %, Querétaro win 20 %.