América Mineiro
Operário PR
América Mineiro – Operário PR
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.16 – 1.17
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: América Mineiro 1-0 Operário PR. The model predicted a win for América Mineiro (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.16 goals for América Mineiro and 1.17 for Operário PR. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 30 %. Over their last five matches, América Mineiro took no points and Operário PR 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for América Mineiro, 1 draw, 3 wins for Operário PR. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1América Mineiro | 3.10 | 30 % | +14.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | +0.5 % |
| 2Operário PR | 2.15 | 44 % | -23.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
América Mineiro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Operário PR
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- América Mineiro
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Operário PR
- Operário PR1-0América Mineiro
- América Mineiro1-1Operário PR
- Operário PR1-0América Mineiro
- Operário PR1-0América Mineiro
- América Mineiro2-0Operário PR
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of América Mineiro – Operário PR?
Final score: América Mineiro 1-0 Operário PR. The model predicted a win for América Mineiro (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win América Mineiro – Operário PR?
Our model gives 1 · América Mineiro a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: América Mineiro win 37 %, draw 28 %, Operário PR win 36 %.