Botafogo
Chapecoense
Botafogo – Chapecoense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.14 – 0.84
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense. The model predicted a win for Botafogo (69 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.14 goals for Botafogo and 0.84 for Chapecoense. Bookmakers say the same thing: 72 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Botafogo took 5 points and Chapecoense 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Botafogo, 0 draws, 0 wins for Chapecoense. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Botafogo | 1.32 | 72 % | -9.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +5.9 % |
| 2Chapecoense | 8.50 | 11 % | +3.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Botafogo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chapecoense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Botafogo
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Chapecoense
- Chapecoense1-4Botafogo
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Botafogo – Chapecoense?
Final score: Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense. The model predicted a win for Botafogo (69 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Botafogo – Chapecoense?
Our model gives 1 · Botafogo a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Botafogo win 69 %, draw 19 %, Chapecoense win 12 %.