Platense
Lanús
Platense – Lanús
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.10 – 1.02
The short version
Final score: Platense 0-1 Lanús. The model predicted a win for Platense (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.10 goals for Platense and 1.02 for Lanús. Bookmakers say the same thing: 34 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Platense took 5 points and Lanús 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Platense, 3 draws, 1 win for Lanús. Over 2.5 goals: 36 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Platense | 2.75 | 34 % | +3.9 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 32 % | -4.8 % |
| 2Lanús | 2.80 | 34 % | -16.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Platense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lanús
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Platense
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Lanús
- Lanús0-0Platense
- Lanús2-1Platense
- Platense0-0Lanús
- Lanús0-0Platense
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Platense – Lanús?
Final score: Platense 0-1 Lanús. The model predicted a win for Platense (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Platense – Lanús?
Our model gives 1 · Platense a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Platense win 38 %, draw 32 %, Lanús win 30 %.