AFC Bournemouth
4-0
Lincoln City
AFC Bournemouth – Lincoln City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.29 – 0.85
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 4-0 Lincoln City. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (70 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.29 goals for AFC Bournemouth and 0.85 for Lincoln City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 73 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AFC Bournemouth took 4 points and Lincoln City 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AFC Bournemouth | 1.27 | 73 % | -11.1 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | +2.5 % |
| 2Lincoln City | 8.50 | 11 % | +3.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AFC Bournemouth
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lincoln City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth – Lincoln City?
Final score: AFC Bournemouth 4-0 Lincoln City. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (70 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth – Lincoln City?
Our model gives 1 · AFC Bournemouth a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AFC Bournemouth win 70 %, draw 18 %, Lincoln City win 12 %.