Independiente Rivadavia
Tigre
Independiente Rivadavia – Tigre
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 0.99
The short version
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 Tigre. The model predicted a win for Independiente Rivadavia (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.99 for Tigre. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Independiente Rivadavia took 7 points and Tigre no points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Independiente Rivadavia, 1 draw, 1 win for Tigre. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Independiente Rivadavia | 2.00 | 47 % | -0.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 30 % | -10.1 % |
| 2Tigre | 4.10 | 23 % | -8.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Independiente Rivadavia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tigre
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Independiente Rivadavia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Tigre
- Tigre0-2Independiente Rivadavia
- Tigre1-1Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia1-4Tigre
- Tigre0-2Independiente Rivadavia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Independiente Rivadavia – Tigre?
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 Tigre. The model predicted a win for Independiente Rivadavia (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Independiente Rivadavia – Tigre?
Our model gives 1 · Independiente Rivadavia a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Independiente Rivadavia win 50 %, draw 28 %, Tigre win 22 %.