Ceará
Juventude
Ceará – Juventude
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ceará 2-2 Juventude. The model predicted a win for Ceará (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.24 goals for Ceará and 1.09 for Juventude. Bookmakers say the same thing: 34 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Ceará took 10 points and Juventude 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Ceará, 0 draws, 4 wins for Juventude. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ceará | 2.75 | 34 % | +6.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.05 | 31 % | -8.3 % |
| 2Juventude | 2.70 | 35 % | -15.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ceará
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juventude
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Ceará
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Juventude
- Juventude2-0Ceará
- Ceará0-1Juventude
- Juventude2-1Ceará
- Ceará1-3Juventude
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ceará – Juventude?
Final score: Ceará 2-2 Juventude. The model predicted a win for Ceará (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Ceará – Juventude?
Our model gives 1 · Ceará a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ceará win 39 %, draw 30 %, Juventude win 31 %.