Dundee
Rangers
Dundee – Rangers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.01 – 1.77
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rangers away from home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.01 goals for Dundee and 1.77 for Rangers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 68 %. Over their last five matches, Dundee took 7 points and Rangers 15 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Dundee, 2 draws, 3 wins for Rangers. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dundee | 7.00 | 13 % | +36.0 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | +25.9 % |
| 2Rangers | 1.37 | 68 % | -24.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Dundee
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rangers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Dundee
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Rangers
- Rangers3-0Dundee
- Dundee0-3Rangers
- Rangers1-1Dundee
- Dundee3-4Rangers
- Dundee1-1Rangers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dundee – Rangers?
Our model gives 2 · Rangers a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dundee win 19 %, draw 25 %, Rangers win 55 %.
What is the most likely score for Dundee – Rangers?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.