Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.05 – 1.17
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II. The model predicted a win for Sparta Rotterdam (56 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.05 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.17 for Willem II. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam took 2 points and Willem II 1 point. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Sparta Rotterdam, 0 draws, 0 wins for Willem II. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sparta Rotterdam | 1.62 | 58 % | -8.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 21 % | +1.6 % |
| 2Willem II | 4.60 | 20 % | -5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sparta Rotterdam
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Willem II
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Sparta Rotterdam
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Willem II
- Willem II1-5Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam4-0Willem II
- Willem II1-2Sparta Rotterdam
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II?
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II. The model predicted a win for Sparta Rotterdam (56 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II?
Our model gives 1 · Sparta Rotterdam a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sparta Rotterdam win 56 %, draw 23 %, Willem II win 21 %.