Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia – Athletic Club
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.26
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Valencia 0-0 Athletic Club. The model predicted a win for Athletic Club (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.23 goals for Valencia and 1.26 for Athletic Club. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Valencia took 4 points and Athletic Club 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Valencia, 0 draws, 3 wins for Athletic Club. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Valencia | 3.20 | 30 % | +10.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -6.3 % |
| 2Athletic Club | 2.30 | 41 % | -14.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Valencia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Athletic Club
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Valencia
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Athletic Club
- Athletic Club0-1Valencia
- Valencia1-2Athletic Club
- Valencia2-0Athletic Club
- Valencia0-1Athletic Club
- Athletic Club1-0Valencia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Valencia – Athletic Club?
Final score: Valencia 0-0 Athletic Club. The model predicted a win for Athletic Club (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Valencia – Athletic Club?
Our model gives 2 · Athletic Club a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Valencia win 34 %, draw 28 %, Athletic Club win 37 %.