Lille
Brest
Lille – Brest
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 1.08
The short version
Final score: Lille 1-1 Brest. The model predicted a win for Lille (51 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for Lille and 1.08 for Brest. Bookmakers say the same thing: 49 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Lille took 6 points and Brest 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Lille, 3 draws, 1 win for Brest. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lille | 1.95 | 49 % | +0.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.67 | 26 % | -10.8 % |
| 2Brest | 3.70 | 26 % | -10.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lille
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brest
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Lille
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Brest
- Lille1-1Brest
- Brest3-3Lille
- Brest2-0Lille
- Lille3-1Brest
- Brest1-1Lille
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille – Brest?
Final score: Lille 1-1 Brest. The model predicted a win for Lille (51 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Lille – Brest?
Our model gives 1 · Lille a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lille win 51 %, draw 24 %, Brest win 24 %.