AS Roma
Genoa
AS Roma – Genoa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 76 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.34 – 0.77
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AS Roma 2-0 Genoa. The model predicted a win for AS Roma (76 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.34 goals for AS Roma and 0.77 for Genoa. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, AS Roma took 6 points and Genoa 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for AS Roma, 1 draw, 1 win for Genoa. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AS Roma | 1.54 | 61 % | +16.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.05 | 23 % | -34.7 % |
| 2Genoa | 5.75 | 16 % | -51.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AS Roma
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Genoa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- AS Roma
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Genoa
- Genoa2-1AS Roma
- AS Roma3-1Genoa
- AS Roma3-1Genoa
- Genoa1-1AS Roma
- AS Roma1-0Genoa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AS Roma – Genoa?
Final score: AS Roma 2-0 Genoa. The model predicted a win for AS Roma (76 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AS Roma – Genoa?
Our model gives 1 · AS Roma a 76 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AS Roma win 76 %, draw 16 %, Genoa win 8 %.