Watford
2-1
Preston North End
Watford – Preston North End
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.03
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Watford 2-1 Preston North End. The model predicted a win for Watford (48 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.55 goals for Watford and 1.03 for Preston North End. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Watford took 2 points and Preston North End 3 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Watford, 3 draws, 2 wins for Preston North End. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Watford | 2.15 | 44 % | +3.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -3.2 % |
| 2Preston North End | 3.33 | 28 % | -23.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Watford
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Preston North End
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Watford
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Preston North End
- Preston North End2-2Watford
- Watford1-1Preston North End
- Watford1-2Preston North End
- Preston North End3-0Watford
- Watford0-0Preston North End
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Watford – Preston North End?
Final score: Watford 2-1 Preston North End. The model predicted a win for Watford (48 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Watford – Preston North End?
Our model gives 1 · Watford a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Watford win 48 %, draw 29 %, Preston North End win 23 %.