Telstar
Feyenoord Rotterdam
Telstar – Feyenoord Rotterdam
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 2.49
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Feyenoord Rotterdam away from home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.04 goals for Telstar and 2.49 for Feyenoord Rotterdam. Bookmakers say the same thing: 71 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Telstar took 3 points and Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Telstar, 0 draws, 2 wins for Feyenoord Rotterdam. Over 2.5 goals: 69 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Telstar | 7.50 | 12 % | +5.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +5.7 % |
| 2Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1.32 | 71 % | -11.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Telstar
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Telstar
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Feyenoord Rotterdam2-1Telstar
- Telstar1-2Feyenoord Rotterdam
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Telstar – Feyenoord Rotterdam?
Our model gives 2 · Feyenoord Rotterdam a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Telstar win 14 %, draw 19 %, Feyenoord Rotterdam win 67 %.
What is the most likely score for Telstar – Feyenoord Rotterdam?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.