SV Josko Ried
Austria Vienna
SV Josko Ried – Austria Vienna
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards SV Josko Ried at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for SV Josko Ried and 1.12 for Austria Vienna. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, SV Josko Ried took 10 points and Austria Vienna 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for SV Josko Ried, 0 draws, 2 wins for Austria Vienna. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SV Josko Ried | 2.35 | 40 % | -7.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | +9.6 % |
| 2Austria Vienna | 2.80 | 34 % | -16.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
SV Josko Ried
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Austria Vienna
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- SV Josko Ried
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Austria Vienna
- SV Josko Ried0-2Austria Vienna
- Austria Vienna3-2SV Josko Ried
Frequently asked questions
Who will win SV Josko Ried – Austria Vienna?
Our model gives 1 · SV Josko Ried a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SV Josko Ried win 39 %, draw 31 %, Austria Vienna win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for SV Josko Ried – Austria Vienna?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.