Pisa
Cremonese
Pisa – Cremonese
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.30 – 1.17
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Pisa 3-1 Cremonese. The model predicted a win for Pisa (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.30 goals for Pisa and 1.17 for Cremonese. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Pisa took 7 points and Cremonese 9 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Pisa, 0 draws, 2 wins for Cremonese. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Pisa | 2.20 | 43 % | -16.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -2.7 % |
| 2Cremonese | 3.40 | 28 % | +7.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Pisa
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cremonese
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Pisa
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Cremonese
- Cremonese3-0Pisa
- Pisa1-0Cremonese
- Pisa2-1Cremonese
- Cremonese1-3Pisa
- Cremonese2-1Pisa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Pisa – Cremonese?
Final score: Pisa 3-1 Cremonese. The model predicted a win for Pisa (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Pisa – Cremonese?
Our model gives 1 · Pisa a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Pisa win 38 %, draw 30 %, Cremonese win 32 %.