Bologna
Internazionale
Bologna – Internazionale
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 0-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.96 – 2.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Internazionale away from home (62 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.96 goals for Bologna and 2.02 for Internazionale. Bookmakers say the same thing: 59 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bologna took 5 points and Internazionale 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Bologna, 2 draws, 2 wins for Internazionale. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bologna | 5.38 | 17 % | -13.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.98 | 24 % | -14.5 % |
| 2Internazionale | 1.59 | 59 % | -0.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Bologna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Internazionale
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Bologna
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Internazionale
- Bologna3-3Internazionale
- Internazionale3-1Bologna
- Bologna1-0Internazionale
- Internazionale2-2Bologna
- Bologna0-1Internazionale
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bologna – Internazionale?
Our model gives 2 · Internazionale a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bologna win 16 %, draw 22 %, Internazionale win 62 %.
What is the most likely score for Bologna – Internazionale?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.