Neom SC
Al Ettifaq
Neom SC – Al Ettifaq
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Neom SC at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.64 goals for Neom SC and 1.20 for Al Ettifaq. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Neom SC took 10 points and Al Ettifaq 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Neom SC, 2 draws, 0 wins for Al Ettifaq. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Neom SC | 1.80 | 52 % | -15.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -3.2 % |
| 2Al Ettifaq | 3.80 | 24 % | +5.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Neom SC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Ettifaq
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Neom SC
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Al Ettifaq
- Neom SC1-1Al Ettifaq
- Al Ettifaq0-0Neom SC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Neom SC – Al Ettifaq?
Our model gives 1 · Neom SC a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Neom SC win 47 %, draw 25 %, Al Ettifaq win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Neom SC – Al Ettifaq?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.