ADO Den Haag
PSV Eindhoven
ADO Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 75 %
- Most likely score
- 0-39 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.93 – 3.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: ADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (75 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-3. It expects 0.93 goals for ADO Den Haag and 3.02 for PSV Eindhoven. Bookmakers say the same thing: 74 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, ADO Den Haag took 3 points and PSV Eindhoven 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 75 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ADO Den Haag | 8.00 | 12 % | -16.5 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | -7.9 % |
| 2PSV Eindhoven | 1.27 | 74 % | -4.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
ADO Den Haag
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PSV Eindhoven
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of ADO Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven?
Final score: ADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (75 %): missed prediction.
Who will win ADO Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven?
Our model gives 2 · PSV Eindhoven a 75 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: ADO Den Haag win 10 %, draw 14 %, PSV Eindhoven win 75 %.