Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal – Elche
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.02 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Villarreal 0-0 Elche. The model predicted a win for Villarreal (62 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.02 goals for Villarreal and 0.95 for Elche. Bookmakers say the same thing: 65 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Villarreal took 9 points and Elche 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Villarreal, 0 draws, 0 wins for Elche. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Villarreal | 1.46 | 65 % | -9.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +8.0 % |
| 2Elche | 6.00 | 16 % | -3.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Villarreal
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Elche
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Villarreal
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Elche
- Villarreal2-1Elche
- Elche1-3Villarreal
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Villarreal – Elche?
Final score: Villarreal 0-0 Elche. The model predicted a win for Villarreal (62 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Villarreal – Elche?
Our model gives 1 · Villarreal a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Villarreal win 62 %, draw 22 %, Elche win 16 %.