Cardiff City
1-1
Stoke City
Cardiff City – Stoke City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:39 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 1.10
The short version
Final score: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City. The model predicted a win for Cardiff City (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.50 goals for Cardiff City and 1.10 for Stoke City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Cardiff City took 2 points and Stoke City 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Cardiff City, 3 draws, 1 win for Stoke City. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cardiff City | 2.06 | 46 % | -7.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.67 | 26 % | +7.2 % |
| 2Stoke City | 3.30 | 29 % | -15.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cardiff City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Stoke City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Cardiff City
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Stoke City
- Cardiff City0-1Stoke City
- Stoke City3-3Cardiff City
- Stoke City2-2Cardiff City
- Cardiff City2-1Stoke City
- Stoke City0-0Cardiff City
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cardiff City – Stoke City?
Final score: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City. The model predicted a win for Cardiff City (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Cardiff City – Stoke City?
Our model gives 1 · Cardiff City a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cardiff City win 45 %, draw 29 %, Stoke City win 26 %.