Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock – Motherwell
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.50
The short version
Final score: Kilmarnock 3-2 Motherwell. The model predicted a win for Motherwell (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.28 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.50 for Motherwell. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kilmarnock took 5 points and Motherwell 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kilmarnock, 1 draw, 3 wins for Motherwell. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kilmarnock | 3.10 | 30 % | -1.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | +5.9 % |
| 2Motherwell | 2.13 | 44 % | -15.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kilmarnock
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Motherwell
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kilmarnock
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Motherwell
- Motherwell4-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-3Motherwell
- Motherwell2-2Kilmarnock
- Motherwell3-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock2-0Motherwell
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kilmarnock – Motherwell?
Final score: Kilmarnock 3-2 Motherwell. The model predicted a win for Motherwell (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Kilmarnock – Motherwell?
Our model gives 2 · Motherwell a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kilmarnock win 32 %, draw 29 %, Motherwell win 40 %.