Hibernian
Falkirk
Hibernian – Falkirk
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Hibernian 1-2 Falkirk. The model predicted a win for Hibernian (43 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Hibernian and 1.18 for Falkirk. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Hibernian took 1 point and Falkirk 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Hibernian, 1 draw, 1 win for Falkirk. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hibernian | 1.64 | 57 % | -29.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +15.6 % |
| 2Falkirk | 4.78 | 20 % | +30.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hibernian
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Falkirk
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Hibernian
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Falkirk
- Falkirk1-3Hibernian
- Falkirk4-1Hibernian
- Hibernian3-0Falkirk
- Falkirk2-2Hibernian
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hibernian – Falkirk?
Final score: Hibernian 1-2 Falkirk. The model predicted a win for Hibernian (43 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Hibernian – Falkirk?
Our model gives 1 · Hibernian a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hibernian win 43 %, draw 29 %, Falkirk win 27 %.