Aberdeen
St Mirren
Aberdeen – St Mirren
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.42 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren. The model predicted a win for Aberdeen (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.42 goals for Aberdeen and 1.10 for St Mirren. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Aberdeen took 5 points and St Mirren 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Aberdeen, 1 draw, 3 wins for St Mirren. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Aberdeen | 1.81 | 52 % | -22.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | +6.7 % |
| 2St Mirren | 4.05 | 23 % | +14.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Aberdeen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
St Mirren
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Aberdeen
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- St Mirren
- Aberdeen0-2St Mirren
- St Mirren2-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen3-3St Mirren
- St Mirren0-1Aberdeen
- St Mirren1-0Aberdeen
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aberdeen – St Mirren?
Final score: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren. The model predicted a win for Aberdeen (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Aberdeen – St Mirren?
Our model gives 1 · Aberdeen a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Aberdeen win 43 %, draw 29 %, St Mirren win 28 %.