Wrexham
Preston North End
Wrexham – Preston North End
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.85 – 0.90
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Wrexham 4-1 Preston North End. The model predicted a win for Wrexham (62 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.85 goals for Wrexham and 0.90 for Preston North End. Bookmakers say the same thing: 57 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Wrexham took 5 points and Preston North End 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Wrexham, 1 draw, 0 wins for Preston North End. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wrexham | 1.65 | 57 % | +1.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -11.1 % |
| 2Preston North End | 4.88 | 19 % | -23.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Wrexham
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Preston North End
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Wrexham
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Preston North End
- Wrexham2-1Preston North End
- Preston North End1-1Wrexham
- Preston North End2-3Wrexham
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Wrexham – Preston North End?
Final score: Wrexham 4-1 Preston North End. The model predicted a win for Wrexham (62 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Wrexham – Preston North End?
Our model gives 1 · Wrexham a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wrexham win 62 %, draw 23 %, Preston North End win 16 %.