Swansea City
West Ham United
Swansea City – West Ham United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.51
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards West Ham United away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.35 goals for Swansea City and 1.51 for West Ham United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Swansea City took 12 points and West Ham United 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Swansea City | 3.02 | 31 % | -2.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 25 % | +0.5 % |
| 2West Ham United | 2.15 | 44 % | -12.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Swansea City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
West Ham United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Swansea City – West Ham United?
Our model gives 2 · West Ham United a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Swansea City win 32 %, draw 27 %, West Ham United win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for Swansea City – West Ham United?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.