Southampton
Bolton Wanderers
Southampton – Bolton Wanderers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.13 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Southampton 0-0 Bolton Wanderers. The model predicted a win for Southampton (64 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.13 goals for Southampton and 0.95 for Bolton Wanderers. Bookmakers say the same thing: 65 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Southampton took 12 points and Bolton Wanderers 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Southampton | 1.45 | 65 % | -6.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.83 | 19 % | -2.7 % |
| 2Bolton Wanderers | 5.88 | 16 % | -9.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Southampton
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bolton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Southampton – Bolton Wanderers?
Final score: Southampton 0-0 Bolton Wanderers. The model predicted a win for Southampton (64 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Southampton – Bolton Wanderers?
Our model gives 1 · Southampton a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Southampton win 64 %, draw 20 %, Bolton Wanderers win 15 %.