Bristol City
Sheffield United
Bristol City – Sheffield United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bristol City at home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for Bristol City and 1.10 for Sheffield United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bristol City took 4 points and Sheffield United 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Bristol City, 1 draw, 2 wins for Sheffield United. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bristol City | 2.03 | 46 % | -5.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.58 | 26 % | +0.3 % |
| 2Sheffield United | 3.48 | 27 % | -11.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Bristol City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sheffield United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Bristol City
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Sheffield United
- Bristol City1-0Sheffield United
- Sheffield United1-4Bristol City
- Sheffield United3-0Bristol City
- Bristol City0-3Sheffield United
- Sheffield United1-1Bristol City
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bristol City – Sheffield United?
Our model gives 1 · Bristol City a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bristol City win 46 %, draw 28 %, Sheffield United win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Bristol City – Sheffield United?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.