Manchester City
Ipswich Town
Manchester City – Ipswich Town
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 83 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.99 – 0.75
The short version
Final score: Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (83 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.99 goals for Manchester City and 0.75 for Ipswich Town. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 77 %. Over their last five matches, Manchester City took 12 points and Ipswich Town 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Manchester City, 0 draws, 0 wins for Ipswich Town. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Manchester City | 1.23 | 77 % | +1.8 % |
| XDraw | 6.75 | 14 % | -23.8 % |
| 2Ipswich Town | 10.25 | 9 % | -41.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Manchester City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ipswich Town
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Manchester City
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Ipswich Town
- Ipswich Town0-6Manchester City
- Manchester City4-1Ipswich Town
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Manchester City – Ipswich Town?
Final score: Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (83 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Manchester City – Ipswich Town?
Our model gives 1 · Manchester City a 83 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Manchester City win 83 %, draw 11 %, Ipswich Town win 6 %.