Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen – SC Paderborn 07
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 17, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.33
The short version
Final score: Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07. The model predicted a win for Werder Bremen (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.60 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.33 for SC Paderborn 07. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, Werder Bremen took 8 points and SC Paderborn 07 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Werder Bremen, 0 draws, 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Werder Bremen | 1.75 | 54 % | -27.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +14.6 % |
| 2SC Paderborn 07 | 4.00 | 24 % | +23.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Werder Bremen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SC Paderborn 07
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Werder Bremen
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- SC Paderborn 07
- SC Paderborn 070-1Werder Bremen
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Werder Bremen – SC Paderborn 07?
Final score: Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07. The model predicted a win for Werder Bremen (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Werder Bremen – SC Paderborn 07?
Our model gives 1 · Werder Bremen a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Werder Bremen win 41 %, draw 28 %, SC Paderborn 07 win 31 %.